Dragon 4, Starliner 0

May 22, 2024 10:42 AM

divjnky

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A post of mine from a couple of weeks ago - https://imgur.com/gallery/too-big-to-fail-companies-need-to-start-failing-8rrEshH

In 2014 Boeing was awarded $4.2 billion for 6 crewed missions, SpaceX got $2.6 billion. To date SpaceX has successfully launched 4 crewed missions not counting their demo flight and has been flying successfully for 2 years now. Boeing meanwhile has once again cancelled what was supposed to be their first crewed flight. Boeing has ZERO flights despite being given 61.5% more $$.

Article link: https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/05/the-first-crew-launch-of-boeings-starliner-capsule-is-on-hold-indefinitely/

** Edited to correct math error.

Imagine telling an astronaut their shuttle is a Boeing 🤣

2 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 4

At this point, I wouldn't be surprised if Blue Origin puts people in orbit for before Boeing.

2 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 0

The troubles at Boeing started long ago when McDonnell Douglas execs took over Boeing in 1997 and focused on profitability at levels that compromise safety. Quality has steadily declined ever since until the disasters we see today. Source: I work in sustainable aerospace.

2 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

They're a defense contractor. What do you expect?

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 1

Relevant Last Week Tonight:

https://youtu.be/Q8oCilY4szc?si=oKbQU4gQyly-QEdW

2 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 2

Boeing is prime contractor for the ISS and still responsible for it so of course they'll get a stonking look-in. SpaceX beating them down over flight says more about SpaceX than it does Boeing. SpaceX's successes have been quite astonishing; but that also can tinkle alarm bells...

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

there's always a need for competition, but SpaceX has a huge lead

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Boeing paying off congress to ensure more funding.

2 years ago | Likes 13 Dislikes 3

Don't forget the whistleblower hitman. That guy doesn't work for cheap.

2 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 4

61.5% more than $ than SpaceX or 161.5% of SpaceX total funding.

2 years ago | Likes 113 Dislikes 1

Thank you for that, don't know what the hell my un-caffeinated brain was thinking this morning! Edited my post accordingly.

2 years ago | Likes 30 Dislikes 2

The post still says 161.5% more...

2 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 2

Kinda related: If I recall, Virgin Galactic is also using Boeing technology (I think they're suing each other over it) for their space stuff... And I heard they ain't doing to well, either. But, I don't think Virgin is getting any govt funds.

2 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

Just to give some insight here in Southern California I worked at machine shops that did the two halves of the capsules and 100 of various parts for this thing. Came to learn that for some reason Boeing used a third party company to outsource the work instead of using their own buyers. All of these contracts were over bid and the budget was blown in no time. And still for all that work can’t get the damn thing right.

2 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

When I see people make fun of SpaceX because of their (well placed) hatred of Musk, I want to point them to this article.

2 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 1

Musk is not responsible for this success. The scientists are. Fuck musk.

7 months ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 1

4.2 billion is not 161.5% more than 2.6 billion. It's 61.5% more.

2 years ago | Likes 10 Dislikes 0

I'm clearly riding the struggle bus today - updated again 🙄

2 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

Hahahhahahhahahahahahahahahhahahahahhaahhahaha

2 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 2

NOT TO SPACE, APPARENTLY.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

Yeah. Can we get our money back.

2 years ago | Likes 11 Dislikes 2

No, there were congressmen's pockets to line so that they could pay boeing more money to keep their construction plants in the districts.

The congressmen have already spent the money on vacations. Sorry.

2 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 2

And use it for what, healthcare? C'mon now. The US government will never, and I mean NEVER do anything morally right. Not even once.

2 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 3

lol

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Yeah, but it will just go to a defense contractor. Audit the fed.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

People need to understand that the contracts are getting spread around because they're trying to create a launch industry and make sure nobody (especially Musk obviously!) has a monopoly over space flight. It's industrial policy, and it's good industrial policy. Unfortunately Boeing, once one of the world's great aerospace contractors, is now a flaming dumpster fire. But with or without them we must have competition in launch services.

2 years ago | Likes 32 Dislikes 1

Agreed, we need multiple options and I understand and agree with that completely. But the option that we the taxpayers are getting seems to be trouble prone at best. At the end of the day it seems like we've paid more money to Boeing for an arguably inferior product.

2 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 1

100% worth it to pay more for less until a fully competitive industry is established. Boeing might not end up one of the successful companies though.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

unlike spaceX at the time, Boeing had a history of making successful rockets. For example, the minuteman ICBMs.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

> they're trying to create a launch industry and make sure nobody (especially Musk obviously!) has a monopoly over space flight

Ackchooly, putting high paying jobs in selected congressional districts. https://arstechnica.com/science/2023/01/so-long-richard-shelby-and-thanks-for-all-the-pork/2/

2 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 2

Pork is pretty much 100% good.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

How so? It puts work where it's not necessarliy optimal. In fact it's driven costs up by splitting work among contractors and locations.

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 1

Determining where work is “optimal” in practice is generally a fool’s errand. In the meantime horse-trading pork projects is the ideal way to resolve political deadlocks that arise from ideological conflicts and dramatically reduces gridlock and polarization. The collapse of congress as a functioning body can be traced pretty directly to anti-pork & anti-earmarking efforts.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

They could go with a single chief contractor and let them subcontract as they see fit to control costs. At this point it's closer to administrative malfeasance than to political disagreement, as the jobs go to the committee member's congressional districts.

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 2

I'm mean, fair. I'd hate to see the door fly off that one

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

The death started with Mulalley

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 2

Does the door panel not work?

2 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 3

Not saying it's not gonna happen because it's Boeing, but where's the source for infinite delay? There's nothing on NASA site.

2 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

It just means they don't know when they can retry again yet. The limitation here is that traffic to the ISS is limited by the docking ports available, each crewed missions takes up one of the ports for the entire duration of the mission, and the unmanned resupply pods can also remains docked for a significant amount of time. Since these missions are scheduled in advanced, it can be hard to find an opening on short notice, so they might need to wait for months for another try.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

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2 years ago (deleted May 23, 2024 2:25 PM) | Likes 0 Dislikes 0

That's an article from last year.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Yes, and the delay and costs keep growing as you can see.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

I think you mistook Starliner with Orion.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Yes, wrong link. I think they mean that they've delayed it multiple times and the new June 1 target is still tentative.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Space X has received more than 15billion $ in government money.

2 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 7

Payments for delivered designs and services. Now bring Boeing's folder.

2 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 1

they received 15Billion before they ever had a successful rocket launch,

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Err... nope. NASA did save SpaceX from bankruptcy, but they'd already flown an F1 or two, and its development cost about $90 million. F9 cost ~$300M. And NASA wasn't giving free money - the CRS contracts had specific milestones for the money.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

2 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 4

If it's Boeing, we ain't goin'.

2 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 3

"Was awarded" yea ok, we a bunch of 5yo and are just going to trust your words about that (F no. They lobbied hard to make bank on that, so basically paid for it)

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

Dragon has flown 8 crewed missions not including the development flights. So a lot more than 4. Boeing has flown 2 unmanned development flights. This one was supposed to be the first manned flight and the last test flight.

2 years ago | Likes 36 Dislikes 0

Comment is accurate

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Thought that number sounded low.

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Not disagreeing with you but curious as to where you're getting that number? I see a number of cargo flights but only 4 crewed missions (not including the demo flight).

2 years ago | Likes 9 Dislikes 0

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_human_spaceflights_to_the_International_Space_Station

Technically they’ve launched 9 missions to the ISS if you include Demo Flight 2 (which is the equivalent mission Boeing is trying to fly). We are currently on Crew 8 and Crew 9 will happen later this summer.

2 years ago | Likes 14 Dislikes 0

OMG, thank you for the correction @DrLOAC !! I was looking at a different Wiki and counted the Dragon Crew vehicles in service, not the actual missions. Well that makes it even more frustrating.

2 years ago | Likes 9 Dislikes 0

There are 4 crew dragon capsules in service, maybe that's where it came from?

2 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

The issue appears to be the company name. It's the sound of a cartoon character bouncing a few times after a steep fall. Boing Boing Boing.

2 years ago | Likes 54 Dislikes 5

Remember that website Boing Boing? Pretty sure it gave my computer the herp a few times but totally worth it.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Careful with that joke, it's an antique.

2 years ago | Likes 14 Dislikes 0

Honestly, if you write the (family) name in its original spelling it becomes much more serious: "Böing, Böing, Böing" ;-)

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Also likely the sound a door makes after falling off one of their planes.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Wow, the Boeing fanboys have been working overtime downvoting everyone.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

Used to be a Boeing fan. Now I'm working overtime upvoting everyone

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

It's important to remember that NASA and the DOD gave SpaceX a huge, future-protecting contract at a point where they'd literally got one rocket into orbit then immediately scrapped that rocket, and had no proven launch vehicle at all. These contracts aren't just about "getting stuff done", they're also about building capability and ensuring that there's actual choice of future contractors. SpaceX are who you'd choose to get the job done right now but do you want it to be SpaceX in 20

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

years? (this gets exaggerated by SpaceX fanboys who will shout and scream about contracts that are happening right now, but quietly forget about the equivalent leap-of-faith contracts that literally kept SpaceX in business at the end of the Falcon 1 days when the company would have been completely doomed)

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

Yep, F1 was more of a demonstrator in the end (not sure if the original idea). But now they have a ridiculous lead in their market segment and we're waiting on the competition to catch up.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Boeing can't even get an airplane to hold together, what person would want to fly in their spaceship?

2 years ago | Likes 158 Dislikes 5

That's likely PEBKAC though. They can't force the people who run them to maintain properly.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 18

People doing the flying don't get to choose. If they did, Boeing would be in a very different place today.

2 years ago | Likes 10 Dislikes 1

Say more about this please.

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

After the 737 max debacle (deliberately providing pilots misinformation about the controls to evade regulatory oversight), it is difficult to imagine pilots not cancelling Boeing contracts if they had the ability to do so, even in light of the overall aircraft production bottleneck. That would have seriously undermined if not eliminated their status as a major airplane manufacturer several years ago and may have prompted a review of government contracts due to bankruptcy hazard.

2 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

Thank you, quite helpful.

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

"Funny" thing is after they got the rocket of the pad they found problems on a thruster, solution? tighten bolts.

2 years ago | Likes 19 Dislikes 1

I wouldn’t mind being a space ghost. I would haunt the shit out of random people via satellites. But if I die in outer space would I automatically go to heaven? 🤔

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

No, you host a coast-to-coast talk show on Cartoon Network.

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

The previous problem was even more silly. They had stuck valves. The root cause? They left the capsule out in the rain for too long and it had started to rust...

2 years ago | Likes 10 Dislikes 1

If you think a window falling out of a passenger plane is a problem, wait till it happens in LEO.

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Imagine losing in quality control to something controlled by musk.

2 years ago | Likes 368 Dislikes 19

Musk is not in charge of the actual science and engineering. Maybe one day we'll see a Cyberrocket, but not in the forseeable future.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 1

I think this post was from a muskinator (elon bot).

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 2

The musk wranglers are worth the money I suppose.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 1

Musk was okay when he was doing 2 things and not 6 things

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

Engineers admit they give musk shiny keys to play with when he’s inside so he won’t interfere with the real work, I wonder how they decide what made up shit they are going to give him each time lol

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

SpaceX have people dedicated to keeping things mostly done right, a layer of insulation from Musk, i doubt Boeing has for their toxic C-suite.

2 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 6

I've heard that a lot but haven't gotten any verifiable citation (just a comment on Tumblr).

2 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 1

But it jives with peoples perception of reality.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

People's preferred perception of reality, which can be no better than any church.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

SpaceX survives because Musk is 'in control' but adults like Gwynne Shotwell are there doing the real work.

2 years ago | Likes 21 Dislikes 5

CEOs set goals and call some major shots. Otherwise you have the rest of the C-suite running things.

2 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 1

SpaceX has a dedicated "Musk management team" to deflect or ward off his dumbest ideas.

People with huge egos are very, very easy to manipulate.

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 1

I've heard that a lot but never seen a reliable source. Got one?

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Falcon 9 block 5 has a current record of 281 launches and 281 successful missions.
They've attempted to land propulsively 289 times and succeeded 285 times. (Yes, this adds up - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sf4qRY3h_eo&t=442s)

Musk himself has gone a bit odd (read: completely unhinged), but SpaceX is rock fucking solid. Thanks Gwynne.

2 years ago | Likes 31 Dislikes 1

my understanding is there is a person/team at space x that is responsible for keeping him from interfering in critical projects as much as possible

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 6

Understanding = believing hearsay? I've never seen a reputable quotation, but maybe you have.

2 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 1

are you waiting for a press release, or what?

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 2

of course there won't be one, but at least a known ex-employee or journalist with a reputation on the line, not some anon rando like you or me

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

And then there's Starship which keeps failing spectacularly to cheers.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 9

It's only "failing" in the sense that they've chosen to test until the point of failure. Every test has gone further, verified something new, given them more data, etc.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

You mean test articles crash?

2 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 0

april 20th 2023 and november 18th 2023 explosions and then march 14th 2024 which did launch but had an outstanding tumbling reentry. Also I seem to recall it being promised to be able to land on the moon by the first quarter of 2024. That's all 3.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 2

Musk tends to lowball times dramatically, but again these are not production items. This is a ridiculously ambitious project that surpasses Apollo in more than one way, key difference that it's being developed “hardware rich”, by testing new things by actually flying them. Expect more crashes and explosions.

By contrast, SLS reuses some key components from the Space Shuttle, including a cheaper version of the RS-25 engine because they're now going to plop them into the ocean.

2 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 1

Gwynne Shotwell is responsible for that part. Musk just sets the (very ambitious) goals. And she's damn good at her job.

2 years ago | Likes 97 Dislikes 2

It is my understanding they kept the right amount of control away from Musk in SpaceX. Or he actually realizes he isn't a rocket scientist.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

I think it's more that Gwynne Shotwell kisses his ass and abuses her employees enough that he trusts her to run it. And despite her being an ass, she's vary competent. Ontop of that they have a lot less politics to deal with. And delays means loosing money, unlike Boeing.

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Shotwell? Wasn't the Boeing Whistleblower Shotwell?

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

exactly. Musk is basically the piggy bank not the engineer.

2 years ago | Likes 14 Dislikes 2

where space is concerned, the piggy bank matters a lot, but also politics (or the lack thereof)

2 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

Don't like her. She fired everybody who complained about Musk, harassment, and work conditions.

2 years ago | Likes 12 Dislikes 3

Nice people don't become successful CEO's. A lot of them are sociopaths.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

She may be an ass (and Musk is certainly an ass), but you can't argue with the results. SpaceX is a wildly successful space program.

2 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 1

Boeing was a great company before the bean counters gained control.

2 years ago | Likes 574 Dislikes 8

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

FWIW: the bean counters are always - always - in control. It's just when they decide to stop listening to engineering that it becomes obvious.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

I don't think that term means what you think it does. Actually, the bean counters, accountants, would require results. It's the wild management for profit that has ruined Boeing.

2 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

A lot of companies are decent before finance and marketing get control.

2 years ago | Likes 21 Dislikes 0

I work for a small'ish health tech company and we were bought by a MUCH bigger one. It's been downhill ever since when the bigger company corpos took over. They discontinued our flagship product to force customers to pay for the "luxury" unit and it backfired. A year later, they announced plans to develop a replacement for the discontinued product and have def lost sales opportunities over it. Greed is self-destructive.

2 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 0

"I;m thinking about thos Beans." - Boeing

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

They get most of their revenue from the taxpayers handed to them by politicians. They are not in the business of making airplanes, they are in the business of lobbying and being a welfare queen.

2 years ago | Likes 15 Dislikes 0

I hate seeing this in history. Even if a large company is run ethically in the beginning, hitting every human goal post and succeeding, those in charge will one day die. Even if they've groomed a protégé, they will die and the company will be sold or publicly traded and start grinding orphans for the share holders. I really dislike capitalism.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Number must go up!!!

2 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

I was gonna say, how has Boeing fucked up so bad so consistently? I don’t remember them being this stupid when I was younger.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

My god how many companies and industries could we say that about!!?

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

actually they fired all the bean counters and arent counting them beans any more. they are just writing bigger and bigger checks to the execs and shareholders, until the company fails then they will ask the govt to bail them out.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

I hear the doors and wheels falling off didn’t really help them either.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

That's capitalism for you.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

McDonnell Douglas bought Boeing with Boeings own money.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

worse. accountants are employees, the fault is with corporate executives and their insatiable greed.

2 years ago | Likes 52 Dislikes 0

The made the accountants the head executives. That's what we mean. Same thing happened to IBM. No product, service, or innovation in charge, just accountants moving numbers and burning the company for short term paper gains.

2 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

The current executives are all finance/accounting/business majors. Before the merger, Boeing executives were mostly engineers.

2 years ago | Likes 28 Dislikes 1

finance and business backgrounds can work well if they have good leadership with a proper understanding of the company and with the correct priorities. but quarterly profit over quality is short sighted. take away corporate bonuses and paid benchmarks

2 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

Or just make it illegal for 99% of an executive’s compensation to come in the form of stock options. Right now they only have incentive to pump their own stock as much as possible to sell and move on to the next company.

2 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

The problem with business and finance leaders in this case is they didn't understand how critical each component is. They began to make the company lean, and attempted to streamline things that were already streamlined

2 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Best we can do is end stage capitalism.

2 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0