A wannabe-gambler's confession

Nov 13, 2019 2:14 AM

VB6ftw

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Throwing away $20 of my hard earned money each month.

I am well aware that my chances of winning are slim to none.
I will never win. I know.

If it makes you happy do it I spend all my money on weed but I’m happy

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

If you do some googling, there are companies, that spend 50k-500k on lottery tickets each year.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

If you invest that $20 in the sp500 for ~45 years you'll have around 600k assuming a 7% return. That's how I convinced myself to stop

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Usually $20/month is affordable, but a windfall is noticable, even if it's just like $100.

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Lottery as a pastime: Fine and good fun. Lottery as an investment strategy: hahahahhahahaha

6 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 1

Playing sometimes too, but it is just an additional tax for people who are bad at math. ?

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

The lottery is a tax on poor and dumb people. Sorry but it's the truth

6 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 1

Totally. It goes to schools and stuff and rich people don't play it, so it's just a not so secret tax on the poor and stupid.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

I do too. Currently $4.80 a week, and I've done it since 2004 or so.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Sometimes I win around $20 dollars so it is not that bad.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Look at it this way. Your money is at least going to the jackpots of those who do win. So you’re an essential part of the process.

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

Trying to get rich by playing the lottery is like trying to commit suicide by flying commercial airline. Possible, not probable.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Just you watch, gonna fly Malaysia more to increase my chances

6 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

I feel the same. I have a hard time fantasizing about what I'd do with that money if I don't buy a ticket.

6 years ago | Likes 9 Dislikes 0

Does anyone actually know of, or has them self, won a Mega millions? I have never found a person that even knew someone second hand.

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

I do too. Currently $4.80 a week, and I've done it since 2004 or so.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

I figure so far I'm ahead, I've had two nice wins. At the moment it's a small dream-feeder, just like you, and I haven't lost money in total

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

My biggest win was $40 lol. And it wasn't a single prize, it was 3 simultaneous winnings.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

4 or 6 bucks a week isnt gonna break the bank let it ride

6 years ago | Likes 9 Dislikes 0

I rationalize it by figuring I could waste 6$ a week on a piece of paper or McDonalds, and the piece of paper is probably healthier.

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

You say you're happy to spend that. I could lay out reasons you shouldn't be, But I'd rather you be happy.

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 1

Well, people are happy paying $8 for a cup of coffee every day when they can make it at home. But it makes them happy.

6 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

Exactly. People spend stupid amounts of money on dumb shit every day. If it’s not putting them in debt, and they enjoy it then have fun.

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

*laughs in statistics*

6 years ago | Likes 19 Dislikes 3

Worked in a newsagency where I watched people blow their whole pension/pay cheque immediately. It was sad. Others were fine - just balance.

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

I spend that much on pizza weekly. To each his on what bring him hope and happiness

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

The worse I'm off, the more I spend on the lottery and scratch tickets. It's when I want to escape the most.

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 1

As long as you can afford it, whatever works for you :) I mean it. Gambling is only a problem if it affects your economy.

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

I never expect to win, so I don't use money I can't afford to lose.

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

+1

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Bruh, some days Powerball is what I got to look forward to. And when I lose, there's just another one a couple days away.

6 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

Exactly. Of my low income, I can easily spare those $20 to invest in a chance that it can get better some day.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

I literally spend about $20 a month on mobile games on my phone. If you enjoy it, no need to be ashamed.

6 years ago | Likes 14 Dislikes 0

I think the problem is people believe it to be an 'investment's

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Seriously. The amount I spend on booze is waaaay greater then a few bucks a week on lottery. It’s cheap fun to think about winning big.

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

here is a difference there. You are paying for "x" hours of entertainment with your $20.

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Oh and booze. Not often, but when I do it's big $$$

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Why not save that money in a jar every week. At the end of the year, do something awesome with that money. It's a dream you can actualize.

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 1

I occasionally spend a few bucks for a ticket. It’s 4 bucks every few weeks to dream big for a little while

6 years ago | Likes 125 Dislikes 2

One dollar turns into 20 given 30-40 years invested and based on previous performance. Bout 20k a year you wont have for retirement.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Sorry, I replied to the wrong comment. 4 bucks a month is much more reasonable but 80 is different

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Exactly this.once had a gas station attendant criticize me for buying 5 worth of tickets when it was super high. I can waste that on a dream

6 years ago | Likes 15 Dislikes 0

You don’t need to spend money to dream..? You can dream whatever fantastical things you want about your life. Probably have better odds too

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 10

Plus, SOMEONE has to win, and you have just as much chance per ticket as the next guy.

6 years ago | Likes 12 Dislikes 1

You're thinking of a raffle. There's a reason their much lower of a jackpot

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

Eventually someone will win, otherwise the jackpot would never reset.

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

No, someone doesn’t have to win. That’s how jackpots grow. Most of the time no one wins. You’d be better of in a casino

6 years ago | Likes 11 Dislikes 3

Eventually someone will win though.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

That's true. But in a casino you will never experience the thrill of dreaming of 100's of millions. It's the experience and hope combined.

6 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

I only buy a ticket when the jackpot is Maxed out. I’m not greedy, just really bad with money.

6 years ago | Likes 19 Dislikes 2

The expected return on a ticket is worth more than the cost of the ticket when jackpots are between 100 & 500 million.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

That's statistics, not probability!

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

You're odds are no different, and it's a bigger payout. Probably the best way to play the lottery... if there's such a thing.

6 years ago | Likes 11 Dislikes 1

Worth noting that your chance of having to split the pot goes up as lots of people use the same strategy.

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

You have a higher chance of being bitten by a shark and struck by lightning at the same time, though.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

If you enjoy the lottery, knock yourself out. It's only a problem if you can't afford it or it's your retirement strategy.

6 years ago | Likes 802 Dislikes 1

Exactly. It's entertainment. People pay for entertainment all the time.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

What’s retirement?

6 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 0

its a boomer thing where they stop working for an extending period of time. its supposed to be wild.

6 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

Or you keep buying in regardless of having lost the desire to play

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

I spend $4 a few times a year on a scratch card and still get lectures. To be fair, my retirement plan is to be dead by 65.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

I worked the 7/11 graveyard shift. Got to watch a little old lady spend the last of her money on scratchers. Her face haunts me.

6 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

In the UK its technically also a small donation to charity, which doesn't quite justify it but some good comes out of it

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 1

That's how they justify it in the US. It's a scam, it is cruel, and it abuses the desperate and the ignorant, there and here.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 1

Especially if you keep the spending under control. We play the powerball when it reaches $300M, usually $5 or so.

6 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

Same here. It has to be over $300M mark before I give it a go. If I win, great. If not...

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

+1

6 years ago | Likes 177 Dislikes 2

You've got 100% more chance to win then i do. But I still dream too.

6 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

$20/mo is very controlled. I know ppl who spend 10-20 a day on near min wage and it hurts to watch

6 years ago | Likes 74 Dislikes 0

I used to work at a grocery customer service. There were 30-40 people who, 1st and 15th, would cash their check, and drop $100 of a $500 1/

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

check on the lotto. It broke my heart, and was a major reason I was relieved when I finally quit.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

:(

6 years ago | Likes 11 Dislikes 0

My dad used to play $120 a month. He hit it one day and had about $8M. Bought a house that was too expensive and gave some money away.

6 years ago | Likes 14 Dislikes 0

Fuck's sake.

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 1

Filed for bankruptcy a few years later.

6 years ago | Likes 18 Dislikes 1

Happens to 9 out of 10 winners. :( IIRC, 1 in 20 commit suicide.

6 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 1

That happens to most winners

6 years ago | Likes 16 Dislikes 1

I budget $12 a week for Lottery Tickets. At this point, hitting the lottery is the only chance I'll have to retire before I die.

6 years ago | Likes 91 Dislikes 10

Or what about gofundmeretire

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

I only play the minimum required tickets, and place my investment in the lottery with the biggest potential payout. And it's automatic.

6 years ago | Likes 27 Dislikes 2

That's about $48 a month... If you invested that into a retirement account you'd have roughly $8044 after 10 years instead of lost tickets!

6 years ago | Likes 14 Dislikes 0

Or an index fund.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

That’s not even a year of retirement dude. They’re fucked regardless

6 years ago | Likes 13 Dislikes 1

I'm 62. Long-term IRA's and such aren't an option.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

You could live to 100!

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

NOOOOOOOOOOO!

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Sadly that's not very much

6 years ago | Likes 28 Dislikes 1

It's $8044 more than they would have

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

It you invest a little more than that in mutual funds and wait a few decades, the global economy will collapse and civilized society with it

6 years ago | Likes 16 Dislikes 0

Sounds like a plan

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

All because this guy invested a little bit more..? That’s a lot of responsibility.

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

How to change the world for thousands of years? Start a major world religion, or invest in low cost mutual funds.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

So I wrote a computer lotto simulation. For fun. Using Super Lotto for my model because the odds are only 42M:1. I hit the jackpot once... /

6 years ago | Likes 99 Dislikes 3

Trying to get rich playing lottery is like trying to commit suicide by boarding a commercial flight. It might work, buuuut....

6 years ago | Likes 9 Dislikes 0

You are 4x more likely to be in a plane crash (1 in 11M) than win the SuperLotto at 42M:1, and 40x more likely than winning Powerball

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

... after spending $1.2M fake dollars on tickets. I spent another $8M without hitting another jackpot. Buying $400k at a time you lose 85% /

6 years ago | Likes 86 Dislikes 2

... of the money put in. I wrote a mathematical model to buy the best possible spread of tickets, minimizing duplication, triplets, etc. /

6 years ago | Likes 65 Dislikes 1

... and my mathematical approach showed no improvement from pure random up until I was buying 5% of the number pool at once ($2M). ... /

6 years ago | Likes 67 Dislikes 1

.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

You cannot win. The lottery prays on human’s inabilities to conceptualize very large numbers. Save your money. $20 a week for 20 years /

6 years ago | Likes 78 Dislikes 2

There is an alternate theory that a straight cost * win % isn't the best model as for most people the cost is low enough to not notice so ~0

6 years ago | Likes 11 Dislikes 3

... Invested almost anywhere would accumulate to about $50k. Over 30 years it’s $100k. Don’t waste your money on lotto anymore.

6 years ago | Likes 79 Dislikes 7