cardinal29
2232
30
9
So, I guess I have to get ready for the midterm losses that were always predicted? I have to give up hope that *this time* would be different.
Hershel Walker is actually gonna win this thing? How?? The guy is a walking pile of shit.
Hey! I'm a "Super Voter"! Didn't know it had a name.
Got my hopes up because I'm "overrepresented." I thought voters had common sense ?♀️
The opinions of Hispanic and Black men aren't reflected in polls. Huh. What's their vote going to be like? Do they turn out for midterms?
A Democratic pollsters says Black Georgians will vote for Kemp over Abrams. What is *wrong* with this world? Jesus wept.
$1.2 in Federal Covid aid is used to bribe people to vote red. Oh, the irony.
FOX News shows up in the list of culprits, of course. Look at Red state crime rates. So many guns.
"Let me assure you, it has not been because of the searing intellect of Republican leadership." ?
Why Republican Insiders Think the G.O.P. Is Poised for a Blowout
https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-political-scene/why-republican-insiders-think-the-gop-is-poised-for-a-blowout
holdontyp
Keep in mind that manipulating data and straight out lying are staple GOP tactics.
DaMackies
Donald Trump was President, people should know by now that it's literally impossible to underestimate the intelligence of the average voter.
inversegrav
i get downvoted every time i point out that this country is 50-50 split between fascism and everything else.
Pseudosim
Ah yes, Polls, which are contingent upon answering a call from an unknown number in an age of Endless spam calls... yeah, great sample sizes
PhloydPhan
You're only starting now? You've got some catching up to do....
cardinal29
Omnimorph2112
Well... I got a spare room over here in Europe guys.
cardinal29
SteveMND
People have predicted a massive Democrat win this midterm. People have predicted a massive Republican win this midterm. Ignore all polls; >
SteveMND
< just vote in EVERY election as if it were your last opportunity to save the country, because otherwise, it just might be.
bobgunrunnersmith
I'm on the wagon, so please have one for me.
cardinal29
mrthewhitee
Polls are unreliable. Have been for the past decade or so. They've only gotten worse.
SiriHowDoIAdult
This tells me 1 in 1.5 Americans crave a fascist autocracy. Get your shit together.
cardinal29
But I don't want to live through a civil war!
YouAreTheInsultMaster
Don't worry, you probably won't.
cardinal29
WoodyGoodman
POLLS DON'T MEAN SHIT! They're essentially spam these days & work to discourage voting. When they say it's of no use, VOTE IN SPITE OF THEM!
cardinal29
Done. Voted early, got absentee ballots for family members and dropped them off today. There was a crowd voting today.
WoodyGoodman
Awesome! C'mon Blue, no whammies, no whammies!
v
BadPunsAplenty
Early voting results thus far skew heavily democratic. These aren't polls: https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1588164576042008578
sambaah05
This isn't a source. This is a tweet. I couldn't find him citing a source for the claim. Were you able to?
PhloydPhan
Counterpoint: The GOP has been railing against early voting since 2020 and those results were always going to lean Dem.
BrainTaffy
Early voting always skew heavily democratic, and moreso now with the GOP saying to vote on the day to avoid "rigged" early voting processes.
Cocainemoon
Take polls with a titanic grain of salt, the sample sizes are tiny.
hhager23
https://www.calculator.net/sample-size-calculator.html?type=1&cl=98&ci=5&pp=50&ps=16000000&x=63&y=20
GreyKnightTemplar666
543 people that /have time and are willing to answer/ a political poll. Is it all landlines? What's the age variance amongst those 543?
GreyKnightTemplar666
There is literally no honest way to actually get a good pulse of the nation with that few of people amongst different walks of life.
GreyKnightTemplar666
Don't trust polls to begin with. GOP pacs have been flooding the polls with more rep leaning polls to askew the average.
GreyKnightTemplar666
There was a poll of only 150 women to say suburban women are voting Republicans more than Dems. That polling size is so ridiculously small
cardinal29
ThomasGersky
Polls are another republican tool for pushing their own agenda. Nobody says the size, location or demographic of the poll. And possibly...
ThomasGersky
Most important is young voters, and most blue voters don't bother with spam polls.
GreyKnightTemplar666
cardinal29
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/ "Republicans Slightly Favored"
GreyKnightTemplar666
Again, 10 or of 15 polls may show rep advantage, but those 10 polls are more than likely fluff polls to show just that.
GreyKnightTemplar666
538 is a poll aggregator that averages out polls and does do some advanced calculations based on how well rated the poll source is.
JayDeeDubs
My hope is that the polls are honestly wrong, that the difficulty in getting answers from many demographics have finally skewed the polls
WoodyGoodman
"Polls" are untrustworthy, and essentially spam these days.
JayDeeDubs
Into complete error. We'll find out soon if that's a fool's hope or not.
mrthewhitee
Polls have been unreliable for the past 8 years or so.
JayDeeDubs
Of course, if my hope is realized, the disparity between the results and the polls will be taken as "proof" of voter fraud by Republicans
mrthewhitee
I beleive this may be the point. Gop pushing as much as possible positive poll results. Maybe even manipulation, I dunno.