Survivorship bias

Feb 17, 2020 1:51 PM

Lanhdanan

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111926

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2889

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96

Gee no wonder! If you shoot the cockpit... the person piloting dies?

6 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

we hungarians are a special kind of dicks

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Repost bias.

6 years ago | Likes 9 Dislikes 0

I remember this example in Daniel Kahneman's book Thinking Fast and Slow

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

my russian friend told me the russians did that, I got kind of suspicious about that.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Kind of how religious people say only god could come up with something as complex as the human body - except billions of iterations died.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 1

6 years ago | Likes 198 Dislikes 1

There's a hole in your right wing

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Basically every motivational speaker ever has this bias.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

"Things were built to last back in the day!" - Or maybe the old stuff that wasn't well built is trash and forgotten now?

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Those engines lived a charmed life.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Hard to look at the ones that didn't survive, given that they would likely be scattered over a few hundred meters of enemy territory. 1/2

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Not that he's not correct of course. 2/2

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

God damn excellent opportunity missed right here.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Saw that in a statistics book

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

I'm sure the turret gunner would support these findings.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

This was a Trivia question on Car talk with click and clack the tappet Brothers

6 years ago | Likes 11 Dislikes 0

Were their lawyers "Dewey, Cheatum, and Howe" also on?

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Sorta like Anti Vaxxers lol

6 years ago | Likes 921 Dislikes 15

This comment is so Aladeen +1

6 years ago | Likes 35 Dislikes 0

Exactly like*

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

I WONDER who downvoted

6 years ago | Likes 32 Dislikes 4

I wonder WHO downvoted.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Probably the same people that downvoted this, too

6 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 0

Looks like measles got to a few of em

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Sadly it's not them that will die...

6 years ago | Likes 68 Dislikes 1

*sharpens guillotine* Are you sure?

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Reminds me of that ship that would always return from a battle but all of its crew would die

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Is this account the new Lassannnnnnn?

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Like selling the stocks that perform best

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

beautiful

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

It has similarities to how to calculate odds. You focus on things when they happen and thing "what are the odds of that happening?" 1/2

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

When you should focus on every time it doesn't happen 2/2

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Don't ask the rich how to get rich. Ask the failed entrepreneur why they failed.

6 years ago | Likes 19 Dislikes 0

Both? Please ask both.

6 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

They both will tell you the same thing. "I took risks that no sane person would ever make."

6 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

Yes, definitely don't armor up the propellor engines.

6 years ago | Likes 142 Dislikes 3

You guys have clearly not seen saving private Ryan and the story about the plane with the general, where they armored the plane.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

I mean, in all honesty armor on an aircraft is a joke, anything effective is to damn heavy, especially by ww2 standards

6 years ago | Likes 55 Dislikes 1

Found the Zero pilot

6 years ago | Likes 9 Dislikes 0

Armor on WW2 planes served the purpose to protect the pilot and crew. You can easily build a new plane, not so much with pilot's training...

6 years ago | Likes 13 Dislikes 0

P47 disagrees

6 years ago | Likes 25 Dislikes 1

The P47 wasn’t a WWII Plane.. it’s an armoury with wings...

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

P-47 wasn't armored, it was just built like it had to double as a bridge for tanks.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

I'm just here to upvote that username

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

a-10: hold my shot to shreds beer.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Look, the p-47 by all reasoning should not be allowed to fly lol, it's only because the r-2800 is an unstoppable monster (sauce I fix them)

6 years ago | Likes 20 Dislikes 1

This is just proof that with enough thrust you can make anything fly.

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

MURICA! (Seriously though...We've got at least 3 different planes that stay airborne out of sheer spite. Only one has been retired (1/

6 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 0

If theyre so unstoppable, how come you have to fix them?

6 years ago | Likes 35 Dislikes 0

Well you got me there

6 years ago | Likes 22 Dislikes 0

I feel like this whole operation is very fucking dumb, because it very quickly becomes impossible to properly armour a plane and keep it 1/2

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Airborne and manoeuvrable. Its hard to armour a plane, its easy to shoot it with armour piercing rounds. Fuckin also, they knew exactly1.5/2

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Where to armour the planes. Newsflash, its the crew compartments, and the engines, dummy. 2/2

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

This.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

i feel like this could be applied to human minds too

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

slightly overweight people have higher rates of survival for severe illness. part of that is due to preselection bias.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Hungarian-born Jewish now American Citizen mathematician researcher scientist Abraham Wald

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

What is the point of mentioning the person's religion?

6 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 0

Hungary and Germany were allied

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

*asked the Catholic Irishman*

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

...and Epstein didn't kill himself.

6 years ago | Likes 147 Dislikes 34

Just connect the dots

6 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 3

I'm not downvoting because I disagree, but because I don't care, and because your comment is irrelevant to the topic at hand.

6 years ago | Likes 15 Dislikes 7

Well, for 24,338 days, he didn't.

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

There’s no investigation so this must be false(sarcasm)

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 2

Observe the slow onset of disinformation in the form of anonymous downvotes

6 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 15

Or just people who get tired of the topic being shoehorned into comments.

6 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

This. I really could not give less of a fuck.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

People like living in the dark.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 3

The day is my enemy, the night is my friend

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 1

One of those was me

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

6 years ago | Likes 21 Dislikes 7

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 2

You gonna source what is essentially, a long winded version of "yes he did"?

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 2

Did you intend to prove my point? The meme has eclipsed what should be common knowledge, both in general and about the case.

6 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 2

And yet you insist on carrying out your crusade with an equal amount of indifferent abandon. You do understand how asanine that is.

6 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 3

What crusade? The one where we acknowledge the facts of the case? Oh yeah man. SUPER unreasonable.

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

What trial?

6 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 4

Any trial that comes at the end of the investigation, from the guards who left him alone, to his associates in his little black book.

6 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 2