I saw this on LinkedIn and thought imgur would appreciate

Apr 24, 2019 12:18 AM

cw5000

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I see business decisions made like this all the time.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

I saw this on imgur and though it was already on imgur.

7 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 3

v

7 years ago | Likes 73 Dislikes 5

Wow. This is great. Thank you!

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

That would lead to a 100% loss.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

And? What was the outcome?

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

The Allied forces won and the US dropped a bomb on Japan. The effects are clearly seen in modern Japanese pornography.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Same with why they had a spike in head injuries in wwi because they added helmets.

7 years ago | Likes 12 Dislikes 0

Yep. Hits to the head were suddenly not insta-death anymore, so more headwounds in the hospital. They almost banned helmets over it alegedly

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

I think we also see this in the 'they don't make them like they used to' saying. The old ones we still have around were the well made ones.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

the old poorly made stuff got thrown out long ago, all we're left with was the good stuff.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Stats and numbers need context to be useful.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Like stats of drugs caught coming thru ports of entry, duh, what about the rest that dont go thru ports?

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Anti-vaxers: this is why autism rates have skyrocketed - because we can fucking diagnose it now.

7 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 2

Ive seen this stated multiple times, but it assumes one group was correct and another was not without using any definitive proof.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

This is also a frusteration in the gun violence/gun control debate when this type of data is used.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

When I saw the thumbnail I thought it was places that a plane had been shot and still survived to land.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

That's just the way we've always done things.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

It implies a very naive behavior for them to do in a war. I’m sure they recovered crashed planes as well.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Hey VSauce! Michael here

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

For a LinkedIn post there is a serious lack of hashtags and buzzwords like 'disruption', 'growth hacking' and 'innovation' tbh

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

same thing happened with the British army and helmets. Helmets were issued, head injures went up, so people wanted to take them away.

7 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 1

Interesting

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Why in the world would anyone think that bullets magically find those spots on an airplane?

7 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

And why anyone would go "Hm ya know,protecting the damn engines that keep the plane flying isn't that important, this Mr. Wald sounds crazy"

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

This is my boss

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

I am indeed and you’re the best person we have here! Also I love that we talk about Imgur

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

True and you’re the best person we have and the only on on imgur with me!

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

YES!! So no one will know you said I'm the best and they wont get jelly.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Moar reading for the interested https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias

7 years ago | Likes 20 Dislikes 0

Very interesting. Thank you very much.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

If you guys like this sort of thing the https://youarenotsosmart.com/podcast/ has amazing episodes about biases, fallacies etc.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

this is why sample sets are misleading....

7 years ago | Likes 147 Dislikes 9

But rumors, true or false, are often revealing...

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Nevermind anecdotal evidence. Many people have a relative who used to [insert unhealthy habit] a lot & nevertheless lived to a ripe old age.

7 years ago | Likes 11 Dislikes 0

No, rather survivorship bias

7 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

* can be misleading

7 years ago | Likes 96 Dislikes 0

No, I meant what I said. Statistics depends completely on who is interpreting them!

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 1

Especially if presented certain ways

7 years ago | Likes 10 Dislikes 0

I've seen this all over the place but I always enjoy it.

7 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 0

I dont because all it states is some one had a different opinion but never shows meaningful evidence either were a correcr assessment.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Its two groups saying "im right because..." but no actual evidence, just conjecture.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

It makes no statements on if the changes to armor changed survivability or not or if the planes were tested after a change.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

So its just contextless bullshit. If you cant give me actual context, suck a dick instead of telling this story. Better use of a mouth.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Same with Conceal and Carry lists being "more law abiding than the population". They never count C&C holders who later commit crimes.

7 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 1

I don't know if that's valid. At least my thinking is, I will follow every rule I have to because continuing to carry is important to me.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 4

Also when you say C&C I only think of those who are legally allowed to. Otherwise they are carrying an illegally concealed weapon.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 4

Yeah I’m gonna need a source on this one...

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Someone gave that poor plane measles....

7 years ago | Likes 14 Dislikes 1

It didn’t wear it’s Jimmy Hat when coming to port in the orient

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 1

Damn anti vaxers

7 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Yeah, but corporate says otherwise.

7 years ago | Likes 558 Dislikes 3

Typical big navy

7 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

The one downvote this got obviously belongs to someone in a corporate office.

7 years ago | Likes 12 Dislikes 2

Everything is always ass backwards in the military. If it makes sense, they’re probably going to go with the exact opposite.

7 years ago | Likes 50 Dislikes 1

Example: For those who have worn them, when the military switched from Interceptor Flaks to the MTV’s... Worst Flak. EVER.

7 years ago | Likes 23 Dislikes 0

I was soooo glad we got plate carriers instead of that horseshit.

7 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 0

Fuck those things! With their bull crap lamb skin in a 140 weather. Only allowed to be worn for 50 min. BS

7 years ago | Likes 13 Dislikes 0

Oh Lawd the horrible memories. Welts out the ass, dehydrating 2x faster, no range of motion what-so-ever. But hey, it’s got Molle out da ass

7 years ago | Likes 12 Dislikes 0

Famous example of survivorship bias. This is the reason hedge fund studies show great returns. Funds that fail aren’t included.

7 years ago | Likes 1670 Dislikes 8

Also explains why Geico customers are 97% satisfied with Geico. If they weren't satisfied, they'd choose another company.

7 years ago | Likes 53 Dislikes 1

Excellent point. No one seems to notice this.

7 years ago | Likes 154 Dislikes 3

Eili5 this one for me?

7 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

Studies focused on the success of [hedge funds] are overly positive because unsuccessful [hedge funds] stop existing, and aren't counted.

7 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

Preach

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Kinda like "no one was vaccinated when I was a kid and we're all ok".

7 years ago | Likes 16 Dislikes 1

Yes, I hate when older people say "kids these days are too soft. We all went around without helmets or seatbelts and we were fine!"

7 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 2

Sounds like the FDAs secret files on failed medical/surgical equipment. Stats are even hidden from surgeons.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 3

Sounds like the Right wing party of Australia, with a target of 30,000jobs to create, & 1 years result was only 4,000. "JOB PATH WORKS"

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Psychic scams are similar. Give one prediction to 500 people and the opposite to 500 others. Do this 5 times. 100% accuracy for ~30 people.

7 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

Better example, seat belts.

7 years ago | Likes 35 Dislikes 6

How do seat belt studies show survivorship bias? They definitely have to take mortalities into account.

7 years ago | Likes 17 Dislikes 0

Injuries in car accidents went up but fatalities went down.

7 years ago | Likes 20 Dislikes 0

I think there was a rise in neck, back, etc. injuries that someone flying through the windshield and scraping across road would not report.

7 years ago | Likes 23 Dislikes 0

Cause hedge funds and airplane are perfectly analogus.

7 years ago | Likes 10 Dislikes 64

No but the missing statistics are applicable to both

7 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 1

Thank you. Data"s gonna data.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

You're analogous.

7 years ago | Likes 34 Dislikes 1

?1

7 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 0

7 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

Jesus dude are you this much of a stick in the mud all the time or is today special?

7 years ago | Likes 32 Dislikes 2

I got a pretty terrible haircut today so I do feel less than perky, but I made a pretty fair point. That engineer saved lives with good /1

7 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 3

Analysis and this guy says, "he's wrong because failing hedge fund manager mislead shareholders by not reporting failed funds"...

7 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 1

Oh shit, I'm an idiot! He's saying the engineer was right and the idiots who wanted to armor the planes wrong are like hedge fund manager..

7 years ago | Likes 20 Dislikes 0

I think his mommy says he is...

7 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 3

Oh shit, I'm an idiot! He's saying the engineer was right and the idiots who wanted to armor the planes wrong are like hedge fund manager..

7 years ago | Likes 9 Dislikes 0

I feel like a foolish fool now.

7 years ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

Or that time they introduced helmets in the army and suddenly the number of head wounds went up

7 years ago | Likes 228 Dislikes 2

Also like people who say seatbelts cause injuries

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

*helemets

7 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 3

Can you please explain this one? Because before head wounds weren’t reported since those who had be been shot in the head would be dead?

7 years ago | Likes 93 Dislikes 0

If you get shot in the head you usually die. With a helmets it's just going to hurt... a lot

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 1

It's not a wound if you're dead

7 years ago | Likes 9 Dislikes 0

Exactly. A lot of people that would have died from their head injurie instead just got a head wound and could report back to base.

7 years ago | Likes 32 Dislikes 0

Yes, you got it exactly. Instead of dying, they would only be injured.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Correct. Nobody was marking where the dead were hit, so anyone hit in the head was just "dead," whereas after helmets it was "head wound."

7 years ago | Likes 17 Dislikes 0

Basically. More people survived head wounds, so they were reported as head wounds and not "killed in action."

7 years ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 0

Bingo.

7 years ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

Yes, pretty much that. People weren't getting shot in the head more, they were just living to report it as a wound instead of a death.

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Helmets aren't for being shot in the head, they're for shrapnel and debris being thrown around by explosions. Helmet = concussion, not KIA.

7 years ago | Likes 14 Dislikes 1

But also getting your brain rocked outta your skull with no helmet too

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Yeah, same reason there are more amputees now as well. Armored bits on a soldier keep em alive but legs and arms arent armores

7 years ago | Likes 100 Dislikes 0

I'm trying to think of a good joke with armores. Can anyone help? I'm on my last legore here.... Nope that was horrible.

7 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 1

It's okay, man. Try again. Make a last stand.

7 years ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

when shrap-nel hits your eye and your legs, they go bye, that's armor-e

7 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 0

The type of aircraft used in the pic is the same as what my grandfather was a radioman on. PV1 Ventura. Great plane.

7 years ago | Likes 156 Dislikes 4

Hats off for patrol squadrons! Do you know which squadron he flew with?

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

VPB 200

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Hey, a Kaneohe Bay squadron! Very cool. If you have any pics, I'd love to see them - I volunteer at the Barbers Point museum.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

He has some crew pics. His stories also include time spent in midway & guam iirc

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

The naval air station museum? I am a otr trucker roaming the lands, working on getting digital copies of the photos for you

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

It's important to note that despite literally jumping feet first into a war-footing, we still built shit that could handle a beating. 1/

7 years ago | Likes 23 Dislikes 0

one great example, the Marauder B-26 Flak Bait. https://airandspace.si.edu/stories/editorial/how-many-missions-did-flak-bait-fly 2/2

7 years ago | Likes 14 Dislikes 0

Take a beating all right:

7 years ago | Likes 14 Dislikes 0

Grumman Ironworks

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

Yes, that's one example. Have you read the one about the Liberator that did a belly landing short 3/4 of the wing surface and the entire1/

7 years ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 0

tail behind the ball? Flying entirely on the remaining bits of flaps on the scraps of wing, bomb doors open for the braking power on crash/2

7 years ago | Likes 6 Dislikes 0

I swear there’s a story of either a Liberator or Lancaster that was basically cut in two during a collision but still managed to fly home

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

A B-17 named All American is the plane that springs to mind for me.

7 years ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Oh yes that’s the one. Didn’t realise it was a B-17 thanks

7 years ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0